based on fundamentals the cost of producing a barrel of non-OPEC oil is around $100
the market knows it
so will market participants bring down the price of Brent below $100? well, probably
if speculators can bid $20 above fundamentals they can dump it $20 below fundamentals
$80 brent? pwede
PERO -- it's gonna hurt oil producers whose production cost is $100/barrel
ano gagawin nila? mag produce ng palugi? for a while maybe but not in the long run
so if they suspend production global supply will decrease... which will put a floor under Brent
the market has to figure out what that floor price is
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seems like $95 is the floor price, bumaba nga ng century ark but so far sa price point na lang na yan talaga nag-aaverage brent. But i believe meron pa at least isang rollback if it remain at that price point.
President Putin won't be happy with Brent below $100
Russia govt spending is financed by oil
they need oil price to stay high
Investors Yearn for Putin to Cut Graft, Stimulate Oil Sector - Emerging Europe Real Time - WSJ
what will Putin do if Brent falls below $100 and stays below $100 for an extended period?Succeeding waves of populist spending and tax cuts have pushed up the oil price Russia needs to balance its budget to $117 per barrel from around $60 per barrel in 2008
he will do something. something that has to do with Iran and Israel
Last edited by uls; June 1st, 2012 at 01:43 PM.
$100 na ang Brent
let's see how low it can really go
$80?
demand destruction will meet supply destruction
Are we expecting another round of fuel price rollback within the next days?
^ yes, most probably.
Fasten your seatbelt! Or else...Driven To Thrill!
ever since pababa ang oil price di nako nag full tank
always pa-full tank on the way up. never pa-full tank on the way down